Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 1072.989976 1235.679947 1424.306236 1661.496881 1955.123302 2311.183679 2.782676e+03
2024-10-06 843.331305 1049.400979 1315.829603 1695.025668 2237.462353 3013.767170 4.266807e+03
2024-10-13 707.658966 917.269134 1204.697762 1643.529607 2328.054767 3417.156094 5.434086e+03
2024-10-20 615.300623 823.185584 1121.755703 1604.334331 2414.113422 3828.917677 6.811486e+03
2024-10-27 540.417103 740.360050 1037.796113 1540.348506 2434.541607 4123.940648 8.118672e+03
2024-11-03 508.629909 715.276765 1034.970578 1603.174469 2686.279255 4938.191775 1.112254e+04
2024-11-10 477.106613 685.808343 1019.578424 1639.405608 2895.915023 5752.360411 1.486471e+04
2024-11-17 448.091237 656.436931 999.449790 1661.865241 3082.659036 6599.952300 1.968345e+04
2024-11-24 415.660872 617.857133 958.304338 1636.323559 3158.210388 7203.731467 2.446797e+04
2024-12-01 396.243817 598.737241 948.489080 1670.229274 3379.552583 8337.089972 3.369589e+04
2024-12-08 382.659689 587.975718 952.032000 1731.770893 3688.068355 9944.379189 4.995139e+04
2024-12-15 365.512673 569.284883 938.412523 1753.755608 3901.991022 11393.147603 7.102957e+04
2024-12-22 345.449897 544.784145 913.097436 1750.549024 4063.282836 12856.971857 1.021810e+05
2024-12-29 332.329273 531.870835 909.367210 1798.284924 4400.389252 15468.773784 1.770327e+05
2025-01-05 310.293444 500.540008 865.057747 1739.984254 4385.687408 16397.129110 2.396128e+05
2025-01-12 292.005103 474.819998 829.658019 1698.232767 4415.169643 17644.957995 3.469471e+05
2025-01-19 273.002577 446.409505 786.055920 1629.069388 4330.839866 18184.009794 4.575366e+05
2025-01-26 267.326361 442.971083 794.536703 1696.882629 4766.846470 22739.253360 1.252860e+06
2025-02-02 259.640384 434.991237 792.365183 1736.000079 5117.275254 27479.309721 4.277579e+06
2025-02-09 251.375596 425.228644 785.244853 1760.266249 5423.700902 32681.508696 2.700881e+07
2025-02-16 240.101180 408.688919 761.421283 1732.672204 5498.929423 35918.052027 3.341093e+08
2025-02-23 233.937294 402.034759 759.410259 1769.304487 5887.632138 44057.376391 NaN
2025-03-02 229.952263 399.518922 766.670102 1835.846417 6464.784198 57599.202489 NaN